The Logic of Miracles : Making Sense of Rare, Really Rare, and Impossibly Rare Events
(2020)

Nonfiction

eBook

Provider: hoopla

Details

PUBLISHED
[United States] : Yale University Press, 2020
Made available through hoopla
DESCRIPTION

1 online resource (288 pages)

ISBN/ISSN
9780300238488 MWT13555954, 0300238487 13555954
LANGUAGE
English
NOTES

We live in a more turbulent world than we like to think. Yet the science we use to analyze economic, financial, and statistical events mostly disregards the world's essentially chaotic nature. We need to get used to the idea that wildly improbable events are actually part of the natural order. Here, a renowned mathematician and psychologist explains how the wild and mild worlds (which he names Wildovia and Mildovia) coexist, and that different laws apply to each. Even if we live in an ultimately wild universe, he argues, we're better off pretending that it obeys Mildovian laws. Doing so may amount to a self-fulfilling prophecy and create an island of predictability in a very rough sea. Perched on the ragged border between economics and complexity theory, the author proposes to extend the reach of science to subjects previously considered outside its grasp: the unpredictable, unrepeatable, highly improbable events we commonly call "miracles."

Mode of access: World Wide Web

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